Orpington Astronomical Society

Astronomy => In the Media... => Topic started by: MarkG on Jun 29, 2022, 00:03:37

Title: star explosion in 2022
Post by: MarkG on Jun 29, 2022, 00:03:37
Anyone aware of this event ?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSxiJXWMt1I



Title: Re: star explosion in 2022
Post by: Carole on Jul 14, 2022, 17:10:59
NO, first I have heard of it.

Carole
Title: Re: star explosion in 2022
Post by: Carole on Jul 14, 2022, 17:14:12
One of my Astro chums seems to think it is "Clickbait".

Carole
Title: Re: star explosion in 2022
Post by: Hugh on Jul 15, 2022, 11:11:55
I suppose I had several minutes doing nothing so scanned through this and picked up on a name and googled that and came up with the link as below.

Seems this prof? Larry Molnar at Calvin University (of Wyoming) has been predicting a 'star merger' since 2015 and this Youtube is something about this.  It's not totally untrue (it seems) but even he says his prediction is a 'one in a million' chance ~ so about the same as me (well probably greater odds for me) telling you all that if you go out into the night sky tonight you will be lucky enough to see a Supernova or something like that.  Just to note that his original prediction was that it would go bang between 2018 and 2020 ~ so probably, possibly, sometime soon :lol:

https://calvin.edu/news/archive/astronomy-prof-student-predict-explosion-that-will-change-the-night-sky

- Hugh

Title: Re: star explosion in 2022
Post by: Rick on Jul 15, 2022, 22:08:43
So plausible event, but implausible prediction accuracy... I guess, if he keeps on saying it for long enough he might get lucky, and then he'll be able to say "I told you so!" and become some sort of media hero for a day...